Jason's Bracketology February 16 , 2009
ACC
Locks : Clemson , Duke , North Carolina (Auto) , Wake Forest
Teams should be in : Boston College , Florida State
Bubble
Maryland (RPI #59 SOS 48)
vs Top 50 3-6
Key WIns : Michigan State
Key Losses : Morgan State , Miami (FL)
Miami (FL) (RPI #41 SOS 13)
vs Top 50 2-6
Key Wins : Kentucky , Boston College , Florida State , Wake Forest
Key Losses : NC State , Maryland
Virginia Tech (RPI #48 SOS 41)
vs Top 50 2-4
Key Wins :
Key Losses :
America East
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Vermont
Atlantic 10
Lock : Xavier
Teams should be in : Dayton (Auto)
Atlantic Sun
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Jacksonville
Big 12
Lock : Kansas , Missouri , Oklahoma (Auto)
Teams should be in : Texas
Bubble
Baylor (RPI #52 SOS 15)
vs Top 50 2-7
Key Wins : Arizona State
Key Losses : Texas A&M , Texas Tech
Kansas State (RPI #77 SOS 79)
vs Top 50 2-3
Key Wins : Missouri , Texas
Key Losses : Iowa , Oregon , Nebraska
Nebraska (RPI #64 SOS 61)
vs Top 50 2-5
Key Wins : Missouri , Texas
Key Losses : Oregon State , UMBC , Iowa State
Oklahoma State (RPI #38 SOS 8)
vs Top 50 1-7
Key Wins : None
Key Losses : None
Texas A&M (RPI #51 SOS 37)
vs Top 50 3-5
Key Wins : LSU
Key Losses : Tulsa , Oklahoma State , Kansas State
Big East
Lock : Connecticut , Louisville , Marquette (Auto) , Pittsburgh
Teams should be in : Syracuse , Villanova , West Virginia
Bubble
Cincinnati (RPI #50 SOS 24)
vs Top 50 3-7
Key Wins : Georgetown (Twice)
Key Losses : Providence (Twice)
Georgetown (RPI #37 SOS 1)
vs Top 50 3-8
Key Wins : Memphis , Connecticut , Syracuse
Key Losses : Seton Hall , Cincinnati (Twice)
Notre Dame (RPI #71 SOS 31)
vs Top 50 3-9
Key Wins : Texas , Louisville
Key Losses : St John's , Cincinnati
Providence (RPI #67 SOS 49)
vs Top 50 3-5
Key Wins : Cincinnati (Twice) , Syracuse
Key Losses : Saint Mary's
Big Sky
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Weber State
Big South
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Radford
Big Ten
Lock : Michigan State (Auto)
Teams should be in : Illinois , Minnesota , Ohio State , Purdue
Bubble
Michigan (RPI #57 SOS 14)
vs Top 50 3-8
Key Wins : UCLA , Duke , Illinois
Key Losses : Maryland , Wisconsin , Ohio State (Twice)
Northwestern (RPI #74 SOS 38)
vs Top 50 4-5
Key Wins : Florida State , Minnesota , Michigan State
Key Losses : Stanford , Wisconsin , Michigan (Twice) , Iowa
Penn State (RPI #72 SOS 93)
vs Top 50 3-6
Key Wins : Purdue , Michigan State , Minnesota
Key Losses : Rhole Island , Temple , Michigan
Wisconsin (RPI #27 SOS 3)
vs Top 50 3-7
Key Wins : Illinois , Ohio State
Key Losses : Iowa , Northwestern
Big West
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Cal State Northridge
CAA
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Northeastern
Conference USA
Lock : Memphis (Auto)
Teams should be in : None
Bubble
UAB (RPI #39 SOS 51)
vs Top 50 1-5
Key Wins : Arizona
Key Losses : Houston , Tulsa
Horizon League
Lock : Butler (Auto)
Ivy League
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Cornell
MAAC
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Siena
MAC
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Buffalo
MEAC
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Morgan State
Missouri Valley
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Northern Iowa
Bubble
Creighton (RPI #54 SOS 125)
vs Top 50 1-0
Key Wins : Dayton , Northern Iowa
Key Losses : Arkansas Little Rock , Drake
Illinois State (RPI #63 SOS 196)
vs Top 50 2-1
Key Wins : None
Key Losses : Bradley , Indiana State (Twice) , Wichita State
Mountain West
Lock : None
Teams should be in : BYU , Utah (Auto)
Bubble
New Mexico (RPI #76 SOS 81)
vs Top 50 1-2
Key Wins : BYU , UNLV
Key Losses : Central Florida , VCU , Drake , Texas Tech , UTEP
San Diego State (RPI #47 SOS 74)
vs Top 50 1-4
Key Wins : Utah , UNLV
Key Losses : Saint Mary's , Wyoming
UNLV (RPI #53 SOS 96)
vs Top 50 4-3
Key Wins : Arizona , Louisville , BYU , Utah
Key Losses : TCU , Colorado State , New Mexico
Northeast
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Robert Morris
Ohio Valley
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Morehead State
PAC 10
Lock : Arizona State , UCLA , Washington (Auto)
Teams should be in : Arizona , California , Washington
Bubble
Stanford (RPI #86 SOS 103)
vs Top 50 2-6
Key Wins : California
Key Losses : Washington State , Oregon State
USC (RPI #45 SOS 22)
vs Top 50 3-6
Key Wins : Arizona State , Arizona , Califrornia
Key Losses : Seton Hall , Oregon State
Patriot League
Bubble / Automatic Bid : American
SEC
Lock : None
Teams should be in : Florida , Kentucky , LSU (Auto) , South Carolina , Tennessee
Bubble
Mississippi State (RPI #85 SOS 73)
vs Top 50 0-3
Key Wins : Kentucky
Key Losses : Washington State , Texas Tech , Charlotte , Cincinnati , San Diego , Mississippi , Auburn)
Southern
Lock : Davidson (Auto)
Southland
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Sam Houston State
Summit League
Bubble / Automatic Bid : North Dakota State
Sun Belt
Bubble / Autommaatic Bid : Arkansas Little Rock
SWAC
Bubble / Automatic Bid : Alabama State
WAC
Lock : Utah State (Auto)
WCC
Lock : Gonzaga (Auto)
Bubble
Saint Mary's (RPI #60 SOS 169)
vs Top 50 1-2
Key Wins : None
Key Losses : UTEP , Portland , Santa Clara
East Regional - Boston MA
at Philadelphia PA
(1) Connecticut
(16) Morgan State
(8) Tennessee
(9) Boston College
at Portland OR
(5) Illinois
(12) Kansas State
(4) Arizona State
(13) Northern Iowa
at Philadelphia PA
(6) California
(11) Cincinnati
(3) Missouri
(14) Weber State
at Greensboro NC
(7) Ohio State
(10) Butler
(2) Wake Forest
(15) Jacksonville
West Regional Glendale AZ
at Dayton OH
(1) Pittsburgh
(16) Morehead State / Alabama State
(8) Minnesota
(9) South Carolina
at Portland OR
(5) Washington
(12) Siena
(4) Gonzaga
(13) Northeastern
at Miami FL
(6) Syracuse
(11) UNLV
(3) Duke
(14) Cornell
at Kansas City MO
(7) Kentucky
(10) Utah State
(2) Memphis
(15) Sam Houston State
South Regional Memphis TN
at Kansas City MO
(1) Oklahoma
(16) Cal State Northridge
(8) West Virginia
(9) Dayton
at Boise ID
(5) Purdue
(12) San Diego State
(4) LSU
(13) American
at Dayton OH
(6) UCLA
(11) Davidson
(3) Louisville
(14) Robert Morris
at Minneapolis MN
(7) Florida State
(10) BYU
(2) Michigan State
(15) Vermont
Midwest Regional at Indianapolis IN
at Greensboro NC
(1) North Carolina
(16) Radford
(8) Arizona
(9) Florida
at Boise ID
(5) Kansas
(12) Penn State
(4) Villanova
(13) Buffalo
at Miami FL
(6) Xavier
(11) Wisconsin
(3) Clemson
(14) Arkansas Little Rock
at Minneapolis MN
(7) Texas
(10) Utah
(2) Marquette
(15) North Dakota State
Last four in
Cincinnati
San Diego State
Penn State
Kansas State
Last four out
Virginia Tech
Baylor
USC
Miami (FL)
Next four out
Georgetown
UAB
Texas A&M
Saint Mary's